World Cup in football is coming closer for every day and now it is only 12 days left to the kick-off. I will share some of my best bettingtips until it starts and before World Cup, I will give you my best long-term bet. When the tournament begins, you will have more match-betting from me.

In these two texts that I will share with you my predictions for group-winners for group A and B and, the betting value compared to the odds, odds value, and some other interesting bets for these groups.

I will start to present all the odds for the group-winners and then give you my analyze for how I think it will end and which team is most worth betting on. Keep in mind that a potential winner and a team worth betting on necessary do not have to be the same country. After that, I will share some other interesting “special-bets” that I find worth betting on. The odds are picked from bwin world-cup odds.

Group A – Group winner

France to win – odds: 1.90

Uruguay to win – odds: 4.40

Mexico to win – odds: 4.40

South Africa to win, odds: 7.50

This is a very special group if you ask me. France is big favourites to win group A and have the best squad compared to these teams but I find it very wrong to place a bet on France to win this group. First, I even do not think that they will win. I actually doubt if they even will manage to go trough from the group stage.

They might have the best squad but they have a poor manager according to me, Raymond Domenech. Beside that France haven’t been playing well for a long time and even against pretty easy opponents in the friendly’s just before world cup they have only played draw against much worse opponents then they will play against in the group A. Therefore, my advice is to not bet on France to win the group since they seem to have lots of problem.

Another fact that makes this group interesting is that if you look into the history-books the host often goes trough from the group stage in world cup. Therefore, I am pretty sure that South Africa “some how” will make it trough this year as well. Some examples of other underdogs that have went trough when they have arranged the World Cup is South Korea and Japan 2002 and USA 1990.Non of these teams have managed to go trough from the group stage before they have been hosting the world cup.

According to me, Uruguay and Mexico are pretty even and any of these teams can go trough. Of course, France cannot be forgotten either but my bet here goes to South Africa. They pay a lot for being the host and with their supporters and the pressure on the referee; (and so on) I think that is a good bet. If not you should bet on the team that you think will play best from Uruguay and Mexico, there is a small odds value on that as well. But my first bettingtips is:

South Africa to win group A @ 7.50 in odds.

Here is some other bet that I find interesting from group A:

How many goals will South Africa do in the group stage?

Over 2,5 goals @ 1.60 in odds / under 2,5 goals @ 2.20 in odds

My bettingtips: Over 2,5 goals @ 1.60 in odds

I will on this bet if South Africa manages to score three goals or more in the group stage. That means that they have to score at least one goal per match in average and I am sure that they will make it. My betting-experience says that the home nation always get some easy goals to their advantage (possible offside, easy penalty or something like that). I would not be surprised if the same thing happened this year, why shouldn’t it?

There are always 50/50-situations in every game and often the referees choose to let them go to the defending team’s advantage. However, I think that it is easier to blow in the whistle for the home team’s advantage then the other way in these kinds of matches. So with 1 or 2 “normal” goals and 1 or 2 “easy goals” I think that South Africa will score at least three goals in this group, probably more. I find this bet very worth betting on.

How many goals will France score in the group stage?

Over 4,5 goals @ 2.05 in odds / Under 4,5 goals @ 1.70 in odds

My bettingtips: Under 4,5 goals @ 1.70 in odds

As I wrote before my feeling is that France is way to overestimated in this tournament and to get this high odds for a bet that they will not score five goals in the group stage feels good.

They have had attacking problems lately and the fact that both Mexico and Uruguay are good teams in their defence makes this bet even better. In addition to that, they will not get anything free against the home nation, South Africa, so 1.70 in odds on the bet that France will score maximum four goals in group A is worth a bigger stake.

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