This weekend is a FA-cup weekend in England and that means cup games. All the big teams (from Premier League) go in to the cup in this round, the third. I will give you my best betting tips from the Sunday’s games.

After an interesting round yesterday, the weather seams a bit better today. That gives us better and fairer conditions with our bet and odds. Five games will be played on Sunday and I will give you my analysis for each one of them. Therefore I have chosen to split this text into two parts starting with the first two games in the first text, followed by the last three games I the next one to make them a bit shorter and easier to read. Actually it was supposed to be six games today, but Notts County vs Forest Green Rovers is postp. Here are the FA-cup odds from bwin-football-odds:

Manchester United 1.20   draw 6.00   Leeds United 10.00

FC Chelsea 1.12   draw   7.00 Watford  15.00

West Ham United 5.25   draw 3.75  FC Arsenal 1.60

Sheffield United 2.05   draw 3.30   Queens Park Rangers 3.20

Tranmere Rovers 4.45   draw 3.45   Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.70

And here are my best picks from the odds above:

Manchester United vs. Leeds United, home win @ 1.20

I see Manchester United as big favourites in this game and even though the odds might seem a bit low I think that this is a valuable bet with 20 % payback. First of all it’s a big deferens for the bigger teams if you compare FA-cup with the Carlings cup (former league cup). The FA-cup is more prestigious and the manager often plays with a better squad then they might to in the Carlings cup.

There are some examples of teams that don’t rotate that much no matter if it is Carlings cup or FA-cup. Tottenham, Manchester City and maybe even Chelsea are some of these examples. But managers like Sir Alex Furgeson (Manchester United), Rafa Benitez (Liverpool) and Arsene Wenger (Arsenal) rotates a lot in Carlings cup since they feel that they have more important games coming and want to rest most of the best players in that, less prestigious, tournament. One of the reasons might be that these teams have been fighting for so many different titles and cups for so long time that they have realized that some of the trophies have to be sacrificed for the bigger once.

But the FA-cup is a “big trophy” to win and all of the bigger teams from Premier League play with better start-up-lines here. And with that in your mind I would say that I am pretty sure that Manchester United will win this game home at theatre of dreams. Because I just can’t see them loosing, and I can’t even see that Sir Alex Ferguson wants any unnecessary rematches at this moment of the season, especially not against a team like Leeds. And that why I think that 1.20 might bee an “okay” odds to bet on event though I normally try to avoid these kinds of odds.

Here are some facts about this clubs season so far:

Manchester United is placed at the top of Barclays Premier League, only two points after Chelsea with 14 wins in 20 games. In their last league game they won with crushing 5 – 0 against Wigan at home and more and more United-players are recovering from their former injuries; witch gives Sir Alex more opportunities to elaborate with this squad again.

Leeds is in top of League 1 (two series below Premier League) and they are on their way up to the championship. I would be surprised if they won’t make it this year, but it’s still a long way up to the Premier League. I am pretty sure that Manchester United wins this game how ever Sir Alex Ferguson chooses to start in this game. That’s why Manchester United is my first bet.

Chelsea vs. Watford, home win @ 1.12

Normally it feels ridiculous to bet on odds like this. I wrote it in the game above and say that again. But when it comes to FA-cup matches it feels that it’s a different kind of thinking.

If I was pretty sure that Manchester United was going to beat Leeds I am even surer that Chelsea will win this game, against Watford, home at Stamford Bridge.

Chelsea has one problem for the coming time, and that’s the Africa’s cup of nations. Key-players as Didier Drogba, Salomon Kalou (even though he’s not a key player he would be a god substitute during this tournament) and Michael Essien (defiantly a key player) is missing. They are representing their home countries and since the World cup is waiting in half a year this years Africa’s cup of nations is more important then ever before.

I am pretty sure that Chelsea is going to miss these players later, but in this game they won’t have any troubles beating Watford. As I mentioned before, Chelsea is in top of Premier League, just ahead of Manchester United and Arsenal. Watford lays in the bottom half of championship and will probably fight to avoid relegation in first hand this year.

I am sure that Chelsea will win this game and 1.12 might not be a valuable bet, but it’s a sure pick if you like those.

In the next text I give you my best picks from the rest of the matches that will be played today.

Good luck with your bet

/Amrish

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